Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.202357 11.979851 13.933599 16.234751 18.864952 21.771297 25.219571
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.788223 10.159998 13.008293 16.657046 21.180754 26.576769 33.469310
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.084763 8.696552 12.080190 16.731363 22.896523 30.718502 41.311796
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.901276 7.596275 11.327933 16.779020 24.425678 34.639658 49.154399
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.859668 6.455596 10.279680 16.185763 24.905334 37.098431 55.174791
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.223815 5.775031 9.746536 16.188109 26.129510 40.587709 62.805448
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.721642 5.201138 9.265159 16.161180 27.242715 43.939470 70.433105
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.486669 5.026003 9.376576 17.047484 29.800075 49.589299 81.833021
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.256063 4.813102 9.383642 17.740543 32.083445 54.959343 93.156472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.073115 4.653802 9.453044 18.528382 34.566789 60.794194 105.569539
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.808415 4.285749 9.089770 18.499828 35.642528 64.406959 114.641574
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.506048 3.782746 8.398671 17.781863 35.425935 65.831657 120.188421
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.256185 3.350020 7.792821 17.169368 35.370040 67.578071 126.502857
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.112295 3.129193 7.584515 17.301712 36.691336 71.797352 137.309253
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.973714 2.892590 7.307261 17.257867 37.664810 75.456035 147.363324
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.857769 2.687908 7.068277 17.259804 38.715976 79.311829 157.988950
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.717961 2.388590 6.566851 16.633774 38.443361 80.679952 164.178230
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.634563 2.225558 6.360516 16.629245 39.430524 84.474688 175.038669
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.560661 2.072766 6.155090 16.598968 40.352593 88.191799 185.954673
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.539108 2.074800 6.341942 17.505251 43.354534 96.165896 205.399023
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.509676 2.045577 6.442743 18.214219 45.977624 103.535961 224.057718
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.485949 2.030094 6.578000 19.020361 48.876741 111.626439 244.528819
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.433314 1.903307 6.388071 18.991068 49.880070 115.893897 257.669077